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暴冷（新增仅7.3万，前两月下修25.8万），劳动力市场显著放缓，经济韧性承压，为美联储降息提供强力依据，CME FedWatch显示9月降息概率升至94.4%，12月再降息预期亦升温，提振市场人气，多头情绪升温，利好金属价格，铝价偏强回弹。但美PCE通胀高企引发避险情绪，投资者倾向黄金，抑制铝等工业金属买需。通胀与降息预期并存下，风险资产需求不确定性仍存，今现铝或涨跌不大。　　长江有色金属网cc

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